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China to slow growth or what

Posted 6 months ago|1 comment|151 views
Written by
softbabe44
Vancouver, WA
China's high-flying economy is starting to lose altitude .The big question is whether the world's economic superstar will descend gradually or so fast that it harms a fragile global economy china's comedown is being engineered by its policy makers they want to slow it's growth rate just enough to cool inflation without sapping job growth It's a delicate task Nobody can say with any confidence if they'll succeed says Barry eichengreen an economics professor at the university of California Berkeley China's explosive growth remains the envy of developed nations like the united states it grew faster than any other major economy in the April June quarter according to the associated press latest quarterly global economy tracker only Argentina much smaller economy matches china's 9.5 percent annual growth rate by contrast the us economy grew at a 1.3 percent rate in the April-June quarter before expanding 2.5 percent in the July-September period the ape's global economy tracker monitors economic and financial data in 30 countries representing more than 80 percent of global output economists worry that china's economy could suffer what they call a hard landing a sudden plunge in china's growth would harm the economies of the united states Europe and small countries that need china to buy their coal copper and other raw materials that threat comes as the united states is still struggling to recover from the great recession of 2007-2009.And an agreement last week to ease Europe's debt crises might not prevent the continent from sliding back into a recession that would ripple through the united states and other countries what do we really make of this do we really have to look forward to slipping back into a recession? Where are we really headed? Are we at risk?
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COMMENTS
Altruist
Altruist
Eugene, OR
6 months ago: It is unsustainable to have continued growth at that rate with a finite planet with finite resources. We have to move towards sustainable economies.

What is happening in China is that the people are moving in from the country where they had subsistence lives of poverty. When they move to the city they need jobs. Once they get jobs they start acquiring possessions. It will take a while for the population to stabilize and for the growing middle class to get the TV's, cars and other goodies they need.

India is also making this huge transition and starting to grow their own middle class of consumers.

Meeting this new demand should be an opportunity for American businesses, but instead of using China as a model (cutting pollution controls and slashing wages) we should look to Argentina. The reason they are doing so well is that after the right wing caused their economy to blow up in 2003, they refused to go along with the austerity measures the IMF insisted on. They defaulted on their huge debt, and instead of austerity measures they invested in the future, "as well as record public works investment and a vigorous incomes policy on the part of former Economy Minister Lavagna and as general policy in the two Kirchner Administrations.[55] Private sector employers have, since then, created over 3 million jobs and recovered median pay to over US$800 a month (about US$1,600, in purchasing power parity terms), a level closer to Argentina's historical average.[56][57] This has boosted local consumption by two-thirds in real terms, though foreign investment has increased only modestly." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_hi...

In other words to get out of our mess we have to do the opposite of what the Republicans want and start using the government to give people jobs rebuilding our crumbling infrastructure.

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